Is Downfall mein na to investors na hi traders , dono samajh nahi pa rahe kaha kahreede kaha bechein.
Aaj ek bar fir se bazaar ne bazaar upar to khula kuch time tak kosis bhi kiya leking Sensex aur Nifty dono ne phir se tezi ke badle strong correction dikhaya, whi bat kare benchmark indices ki to usme ₹6–7 lakh crore se zyada market value kho di hai. Sensex mein lagbhag 770 points tak ki girawat hui whi Nifty 50 ki baat kare to 241 points ke bade correction ke sath 25,048 par ja ke band hua.
Bahut investors aur traders pooch rahe hain — “Share market gir rahi hai, lekin iska bottom ya rukawat kyu nahi aa raha?”
Chaliye hum iska step-by-step reasons aur expert views aur short-term outlook ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain.
📉 1. FIIs ka Selling Pressure Badhna
Jaisa ki aap sab jante hai ki FII yani Foreign Institutional Investors inka hmare bazaar mein bhut bada role hota hai aur is time yeh sabse bada factor hai jo currently market ko neeche kheench rahe hain. Data ke anusar FPIs ne January 2026 mein Indian equities se billions of dollars withdraw kiye, jo ki liquidity kam hone aur selling pressure banne ka karan bana. Jab Jab global investors apne paisa nikaalte hain, to domestic stocks par selling pressure badhta hai — chaahe fundamentals strong kyun na ho.
🌍 2. Geopolitics mein Trade Uncertainties
Downfall Trading sessions ke beech geopolitical uncertainties aur trade tensions ke murjhaane se sentiment down ho gya hai. aur ye pressures global macro environment se aa rahe hain, jaise:
- U.S. trade policy ka unclear stance
- Trump era tariffs aur uske impact
- Global interest rate uncertainty
Markets mein lower risk assets ki preference hoti hain — aur risky assets (stocks especially mid/small caps) ko is time mein sell kiya jata hai. Is uncertainty se retail aur institutional investors dono cautious rehte hain — jisse demand stable nahi banti aur market mein panic selling create hoti hai jisse abhi ki bazaar mein downfall dekha ja raha hai
🏢 3. Adani par SEC ka Faisla
23 January 2026 ko Adani Group ke shares me tez girawat dekhi gayi jab U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) ne ek unexpected legal step liya, jisne investors ko hila diya. SEC ne U.S. court se permission maangi hai ki wo Gautam Adani aur unke nephew Sagar Adani ko email ke through legal summons bhej sake, ek civil case me jisme fraud aur $265 million ke bribery allegations lage hue hain. jo ki downfall ek aur badi wajah hai.
Ye move isliye aaya kyunki pehle Indian authorities ke through documents serve karne ki koshish do baar reject ho chuki thi. Iske baad SEC ne alternative route choose kiya taaki case aage badh sake. Is development ne market me panic create kar diya, jisse Adani stocks 15% tak gir gaye aur billions of rupees ki market value wipe out ho gayi. Regulatory uncertainty badhne se overall market sentiment bhi weak hua aur broader indices par bhi pressure aaya. jisse market me downfall aur badh gya.
💱 4. Dollar ke mukabale Rupya bhut weak ho gya hai
Indian Rupee jo ki 91 ke par nikal gya wo bhi record lows par trade ho raha hai, jisse foreign capital strategies par impact pad raha hai jo ki market me mood mohol kharab kar raha hai aur downfall ko aur badha raha hai.
Rupee weak hone ka direct impact:
- Imported commodities ke cost badhte → inflation pressure
- FIIs apna allocation reconsider karte hain
- Foreign debt obligations expensive ho jate hain
Isse negative feedback loop banta hai jahan market mein downfall sentiment aur bhi zyada cautious hota hai.
📊 5. Market Sentiment Bahut Bearish ho gya hai
Nifty mein 25900 ko todne ke bad se hi market mein me downfall dekhne ko mil raha hai aur aaj ka market data ye bhi dikhata hai ki volatility increased (India VIX jump) aur investor positioning neutral-to-bearish hai. jo ki aur downfall ki aur ishara karta hai.
Technical levels:
- Nifty 25,000 ek psychological support level hai
- Agar strong buyers na aaye, to downside extension ho sakta hai
Jab sentiment weak rehta hai, tab small upside rallies sustainable nahi hoti — aur bearish pressure wapas aa jata hai.
🔎 Kya Ab Market Bottom aa Sakta Hai?
Short answer — haan lekin sirf tab jab kuch positive catalysts aate hain:
✅ FIIs ki buying interest
✅ Better corporate earnings beats
✅ Macro signals — RBI/ Government intervention
✅ Grexit / trade deal clarity
Yeh factors sentiment ko strong bana sakte hain.
📌 Conclusion
Aaj Market Gir Rahi Hai, Par Rukne Ki Koshish Bhi Hai
Aaj ka session ek clear reminder hai ki market ek psychological aur macro driven ecosystem hai — sirf local news se nahi chalti.
Market tabhi stable hoti hai jab risk appetite strong ho, valuations reasonable ho, earnings supportive ho aur external environment neutral.
Lekin abhi:
✔ Foreign selling pressure high hai
✔ Global uncertainties & tariffs worries
✔ Weak corporate results
✔ Volatility high
✔ Sentiment negative
In sab factors ki wajah se market ka downfall abhi rukne ka naam nahi le raha.
🧠 Short-Term Outlook: Rukawat Kyu Nahi Mil Rahi?
Ao hum simple language mein samjhe:
🔹 1. Fear aur uncertainty dominate kar rahi hai
Investors abhi uncertain macro aur political signals dekh rahe hain — jisse risk appetite bahut low hai.
🔹 2. Foreign investors abhi stable buying mode mein nahi aaye
FII selling abhi ongoing hai — jab tak FPIs positive nazariya nahi dikhate, markets sustained up move dekhna mushkil hai.
🔹 3. Q3 earnings cycle abhi complete nahi hua
Kuch bad results aaye aur kuch expected — han, average earnings growth slow dikh rahi hai.
🔹 4. Technical sell triggers abhi active hai
Breakdown pattern aur volatility high hai — traders short positions hold kar rahe hain.
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